Lesson 5 - Solar Economic Analysis
Lesson 5 - Solar Economic Analysis jls1645.0 Overview
5.0 OverviewOverview
OK, we are now out of the deep end of the class and moving into the frameworks for design and valuation of the solar resource. We will be developing a second major arc through Lessons 5, 6, and 7, working through economic and financial issues. So you should see connectivity among these three lessons.
In Lesson 6, we will discuss ways to meet the Goal of Solar Energy Design and Engineering: to maximize the solar utility for a client or group of stakeholders in a given locale. We will dig into a short statement, and find a nearly infinite variety of options for design. But first, we need to find out about our clients or stakeholders as "utility maximizers" in Lesson 5; what makes people demand solar energy products, and how easily will they change their minds? Are there any losses or risks that people are avoiding by choosing solar energy goods and services? Essentially, what are the driving forces for people to adopt solar energy?
Solar Energy Economics helps us to establish the following argument: just because one perceives the solar resource to be weak in a region does not mean that it cannot be successful as a technology in that society. The solar resource is ubiquitous, and we make use of it whether we decide to or not. What is interesting for solar energy is that our raw "product'' is the photon. We apply technologies and skilled effort to convert photons into a diversity of goods that society is interested in purchasing.
The economics of solar technologies helps us to address why we make decisions to use the Sun. We make use of the Sun throughout our lives, but in solar design, we work to develop compelling arguments to the client to increase their marginal demand for the Sun. There is a sense that energy is somewhere between a product and a good in demand by society, and it must be supplied by non-trivial mechanisms, at some cost for the exchange of goods. In order to make marginally (or incrementally) more use of the Sun, we have to learn about the skills to measure and predict the variable phenomenological behavior of solar irradiance as well as the dependence of the variable irradiance on the location of the client in question.
5.1 Learning Outcomes
5.1 Learning OutcomesBy the end of this lesson, you should be able to:
- identify the key features of supply and demand for energy systems;
- list the two general motives that shift the value of any commodity;
- list the three specific drivers that will affect the valuation of light as a quantified mineral reserve;
- list the four main factors affecting the price elasticity of demand;
- describe the hypothesis of the energy constraint response for solar energy.
What is due for Lesson 5?
This lesson will take us one week to complete. Please refer to the Course Calendar in Canvas for specific time frames and due dates. Specific directions for the assignments below can be found within the lesson.
| Required Reading: | J.R. Brownson, Solar Energy Conversion Systems (SECS), Chapter 9 - Solar Economics Selected readings from EBF 200 course USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries (See Appendix C: Reserves and Resources.) |
|---|---|
| Optional Reading: | G. Mankiw Principles of Economics. This might be a nice resource for your future study but is not required for this course. D. Meadows, Thinking in Systems: A Primer, pp 1-9, Bathtubs 101 |
| Yellowdig: | Discussion topic 1: Light as a mineral resource Discussion topic 2: Hypothesis of Energy Constraint |
| Quiz: | Quiz Assignment: A few questions on solar economics (see Canvas Module 5) |
Questions?
If you have any questions, please post them to the Lesson 5 General Questions thread in Yellowdig. I will check the forum regularly to respond. While you are in a discussion, feel free to post your own responses if you, too, are able to help out a classmate.
5.2 Supply and Demand of Energy
5.2 Supply and Demand of EnergyReading Assignment
We start with the material on solar economics in the Brownson book:
- J.R. Brownson, Solar Energy Conversion Systems (SECS), Chapter 9: Solar Energy Economics (Focus on the Introduction and Flows and Stocks.)
Then I would like you browse through a few pages from another course: EBF 200: Introduction to the Energy and Earth Sciences Economics:
- EBF 200: What is Economics? (Review the concepts of Goods, Scarcity, and Tradeoffs)
- EBF 200: Utility and Individual Rationality (Understand Consumers as Utility Maximizers)
- EBF 200: Supply and Demand (Review the basic economic concepts)
As a refresher on energy terms and definitions, please refer to this website (see "What is Energy?" link).
- Energy Information Administration Energy Explained
When we deal with goods and services tied to energy systems, things get pretty interesting! When you think about energy and natural resources, the tendency in energy economics is to think mainly of "non-renewable resources" or exhaustible resources like coal/oil/natural gas, etc. I want you to think about how much of our social economic perspective on energy is based on exhaustible resources.
We want to better understand why our clients and stakeholders (or even we) make decisions to adopt technologies that deliver goods and services from the Sun. The form of energy is radiant, from a Solar resource system, and we transform radiant energy into other useful forms to do work.
Energy Supply and Demand
The readily accessible energy that can be used to "do work" in society is still considered a limited natural resource, or good. In economic terms, we would say that many of our useful energy goods are scarce.
As we read in EBF 200, "What is Economics?" Prof. Gregory Mankiw lists seven microeconomic principles. Recall that microeconomics refers to individual economic actors considered as people and firms and their corresponding interactions in markets.
- People face tradeoffs.
- The cost of something is what you give up to get it.
- Rational people think at the margin.
(Watch the following YouTube video of Thinking at the Margin by Prof. Mario Villarreal-Diaz.)
Video: CHAPTER # 2 THINKING AT THE MARGIN (5:26)
Chapter # 2 Thinking at the Margin
MARIO VILLARREAL-DIAZ: Individuals make choices and tradeoffs based on comparisons. When they are trying to decide what is the best choice, depends on those comparisons. One alternative versus the other. Let's think about ordering some fast food.
If you go to a restaurant, and they have the combo number one, and the combo number one includes a hamburger and some French fries, and the price is 10 dollars, then you can take a look at the combo number two. And the combo number two includes the hamburger and the fries and a milkshake. And it's 13 dollars.
So, immediately when you think about it, you say, well, what am I going to get from those extra 3 dollars? A milkshake. So, that extra unit of food is going to cost me 3 dollars. So, the question you are trying to answer is, is that milkshake worth 3 dollars for me or not?
And then, you make your choice. You make your decision of combo number one versus combo number two. That's thinking at the margin. At the margin means to think about the next increment, the next unit. That relatively small change, the net addition or subtraction when I make a choice.
Marginal thinking helps us understanding puzzles such as why diamonds are so much more expensive than water, given that water is indispensable and essential for life. And the answer is that the marginal utility of water compared to the marginal utility of diamonds decreases way faster.
Think about the first glass of water if you're thirsty-- very satisfying. Think about the second one. Think about the 20th or 50th glasses of water. Maybe you will be not that happy with getting that 50th glass of water. And now think about diamonds. What is the marginal utility of that extra unit of diamonds?
Probably will not decrease at all. Probably will even increase. What I'm trying to say here is that if you compare the value of the extra unit of water versus the value of the extra unit of diamonds, it is obvious why diamonds are much more expensive than water.
Individuals make choices at the margin all the time. This is part of the way we think, even though we don't notice. But not only individual decisions such as buying combo number one or combo number two are made thinking at the margin. Businesses also make decisions with this way of thinking.
For example, if a business wants to hire an extra employee, they think exactly about the same way. How much is it going to cost me, that extra employee? Well, it's going to cost me his or her salary. Well, now we need to compare it versus what? How much he's going to produce.
What is going to be the value added for having an extra employee? What is his or her marginal production? And then, of course, if his or her marginal production is larger than how much I'm going to pay his or her marginal cost, then it's a good business decision to hire that extra person.
These basic tools, such as incentives, matter, opportunity cost, and thinking at the margin are not substitute. They complement each other. They are intertwined in the way economists see the world. Thus, when somebody is deciding about the combo one versus the combo two and thinking, should I get the milkshake? That is worth for me three more dollars?
She's not only thinking about that extra pleasure that the milkshake is going to give her, but about the opportunity cost of using those $3 to buy that milkshake. And what is the alternative use of those three dollars? Maybe some popcorn at the movies. Maybe candy at the movies or what have you.
So, at the same time that is thinking at the margin is thinking at the opportunity cost of that money, how to allocate those resources. So, we do that all the time. For a public official, it might be the case that marginal analysis doesn't come that naturally because there is not that attachment.
However, it should. Because still there is an alternative use of those public funds. So, public officials should think, if I allocate these resources in this project, how much I'm going to get out of it? And maybe I'm not going to get enough, and I should invest that money in somewhere else.
- People respond to incentives.
- Trade can make everyone better off.
- Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity.
- Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes.
In solar systems design, we work to Maximize Solar Utility for the client or stakeholders in a given locale. We will describe the methodologies to do so in the next lesson. But our clients are individuals who are in demand of a solar good. The firms developing or deploying SECSs are supplying access to the solar goods.
- Consumers (clients) can be thought of as "Utility Maximizers;" they want to achieve the highest preference for given goods or service.
- Suppliers (designers/engineers/builders) can be thought of as "Profit Maximizers."
Forms of Energy in Demand
Across the planet, there are non-uniform, ever-increasing demands for energy as thermal heat and electrical power. Light, as electromagnetic radiation, is another form of energy, used as well for visual comfort and indoor activities. The photon can be harvested via a solar energy conversion device. To be clear, photons are ephemeral (flows); they are not collected like fuel in a tank (not stocks).
Energy can be described in terms of sources (as in energy re-sources) and in terms of forms (as in energy trans-form-ations). Think of it this way, an energy source is a resource system, from which we appropriate useful resource units in a given form. Energy is neither created nor destroyed, so if the energy is in a less useful form, we must use an Energy Conversion Device (ECD, not a very technical term, but useful here) to transform one form into a more useful form.
- Thermal (heat)
- Radiant (electromagnetic, light)
- Motion (kinetic)
- Electrical (also called power in the industry)
- Chemical
- Nuclear
- Gravitational
Energy scarcity is partially related to the loss of energy quality with successive transformations. Light happens to be an incredibly high quality of energy, which is then transformed into chemical energy by plants (photosynthesis), or into thermal energy by opaque materials, or kinetic energy via wind, or electrical energy via photovoltaics. (Nuclear and gravitational energy are not linked so directly to radiant energy here.)
Our society is used to beginning with "concentrated sunshine" (geofuels from stored photosynthesis in coal, oil, and gas), and then transforming the chemical form to the thermal form (hot steam), which is then transformed into the motion form (to spin a turbine-generator) and finally transformed into electrical energy.
Sidenote on Heat and Power
The terms Heat and Power have been adopted by several industries to have a specialized trade meaning.
- Power is electrical energy (as opposed to a rate of energy use), and
- Heat is thermal energy (as opposed to the transfer of energy).
Thus, in the energy industry, we hear about Combined Heat and Power (CHP) for energy conversion systems that provide two useful forms in one system.
Self-Check
Optional Reading on Energy Economics
Optional: G. Mankiw Principles of Economics. This might be a nice resource for your future study but is not required for this course.
What is Economics?
What is Economics?Reading Assignment
Please note that we will not go into further detail in the course notes on budget constraints or production possibilities frontiers, and therefore this material will not be on any quizzes or tests.
Economics is a social science. What exactly does that term mean? "Social" means that is about examining the way the people organize their interactions with each other in societies. "Science" means that the "scientific method" is used as a way of thinking about and studying social organization. We have some other social sciences, such as sociology, anthropology, education, history, and law. These disciplines all look at different aspects of societies or examine them from a certain perspective. Economics is the social science that concerns itself with how people make consumption and production choices in a world of endless wants and limited means.
Economics is not an ideology or a set of political beliefs; it is merely one of the ways in which people try to understand the society we live in, and how it works. It is a way of looking at the world, what we call the "economic way of thinking." This has proven to be a useful tool for understanding and explaining a great deal of human behavior. It explains how people do many of the things they do, and why, and it allows us to predict, with a reasonable degree of confidence, what the effects of some action taken by a government or a group of individuals will be.
Note that I said, "reasonable degree of confidence." That could be taken as a set of meaningless weasel words, with terms like "reasonable" and "confidence" not being clearly defined. However, what I am trying to do when I make this statement is to avoid being too sure about our knowledge of the outcomes. While it is true that people behave in a way that is "generally" predictable, you must always remember that when we study societies, we are talking about people, and people do not uniformly behave in a predictable manner. In mathematical terms, there are too many variables, and we cannot isolate and correct them all. So, what I am saying here is the "soft-sell" on economics: it is a helpful and pretty reliable way of understanding the world, just not a perfect or strictly deterministic way. Note that the "economic way of thinking" has been applied to many other social science disciplines, most famously law and sociology, and it has done a great deal to explain behavior in these areas. If you are interested, you may want to read more about the works of people like Richard Posner in law and economics, and Gary Becker in sociology. Economics also has strong ties to the field of psychology. Several of the recent Nobel Prizes in economics have been awarded to scholars or teams studying economic behavior from a psychological perspective. This should be unsurprising: both disciplines have the goal of trying to figure out how and why people make the decisions and choices that they make.
A great many economics textbooks have been written, and they all strive to start at the same place, laying out what the "fundamental principles" are. One of the best attempts is by Gregory Mankiw, a professor at Harvard University and former chair of the President's Council of Economic Advisors. He has laid out a list of ten "principles of economics" that is broadly accepted as a good summary of the main points that I will try to make here.
Actually, it's more like "7 Principles," because the last three pertain to macroeconomic issues, which is an area of study that will not be addressed in this course. Instead, we will examine microeconomics, which is the study of individual economic actors: people, and firms, and their interactions in markets. Included as an agent in this study will be governments, which play a large role in the economic lives of every individual and every firm.
A good understanding of these seven points will provide you with a very solid grounding for how to think about economic problems throughout this course and throughout the rest of your lives. I will list them below, with some explication. Before I list them, I want to add three "axiomatic" statements that have to be considered before we move on. An axiom is an assumed statement, sort of a "first principle" that is not, or need not be proved. It is a basic understanding of how things happen.
Axiom 1: Things that we want to consume more of are called economic goods or, usually, just "goods". The opposite of a good is a "bad," which is something that we want less of. However, there are very few things that are universally bad - almost every economic bad is somebody else's good. For example, we might think of pollution from burning coal as bad, and it certainly has a detrimental effect on many people, especially those who live near power plants. But the more pollution a plant operator can put into the air, the more electricity he sells, and the more money he makes.
Axiom 2: All goods are scarce. It is important to understand what "scarce" means in this context. There are quite a few words that have one meaning when used in general conversation, and a narrower, more specific definition when used in economic analysis. In general usage, "scarce" usually refers to something that is in short supply, or is running out, or is hard to find. In economics, scarce simply means that something is not limitless. Another way of thinking about it is this: a good is considered scarce if we have to give something up to consume it. When viewed in this light, the phrase "all goods are scarce" makes a bit more sense. Bottles of orange juice or episodes of TV shows are not scarce in the general sense, but they certainly are in the economic sense.
Axiom 3: Wants are unlimited. This is perhaps a polite way of saying "people are greedy" in the sense that people almost always prefer to consume more goods than less. If they reach a limit to how much of some good they want to consume, it is not hard to find another good they would like to consume more of. It is important to consider that things like leisure, rest, and peace of mind can be seen as goods.
Now, moving on to Mankiw's list:
Principle 1: People face tradeoffs.
This means that we have to make choices in a world of unlimited wants and scarce resources. If you want something, you will have to give something else up. You have to make a choice. Perhaps, in a perfect world, we would not have to make choices – we could have all that we want without having to give up anything else, but this is not the world we live in. From the desert island example, we had a simple trade-off: if you wanted more coconuts, you had to give up fish, and vice versa. If you wanted more leisure time, you had to give up some food to get it.
Principle 2: The cost of something is what you give up to get it.
In everyday life, we think of costs generally in terms of money, or perhaps time or effort. However, whenever you make an economic choice, what you give up are all of the choices that you didn’t make. This is what we call an “opportunity cost.” Ask the average man on the street what the cost of a bag of Doritos is, and he will say “99 cents.” Ask an economist, and he will tell you “every other thing that I could have spent 99 cents on." Or maybe, “the most valuable thing I could have spent 99 cents on, but did not because I spent it on Doritos.” Needless to say, this causes a lot of people to avoid having conversations with economists at parties but, nonetheless, thinking about costs in this way helps us better understand economic decision making. This contains a secondary point: money is only a tool, a store of value or a method of accounting. Money is only basically good for one thing: exchanging for goods that we consume. So, the cost of one consumption choice is the most valuable consumption choice we could have had, but chose not to make. Likewise, the opportunity cost of an investment, of either time or money, is the best other investment we could have made with that time and/or money. For example, the opportunity cost of going to an 8 am class is probably an hour of sleep for most people. Once again, think back to the desert island economy: it took you an hour to catch a fish, or half an hour to get a coconut. So what was the cost of a fish? Well, you can look at it two ways: first, you could say that it cost you an hour. This is true, but, really, an hour was only good for one of two things: catching fish or harvesting coconuts. So, if you spent an hour catching a fish, you were giving up two coconuts. We say that the opportunity cost of the fish is two coconuts - 2 coconuts is what you have to give up to gain an extra fish.
Opportunity cost is all the other things you give up to get something else. For example, let’s say you buy a car for 25 thousand dollars. If you don't spend your money on buying the car, you could invest your money (for example: deposit it into a savings account and receive interest or buy stocks, ...). When you buy the car, you give up all the other things that you could have done with the 25 thousand dollars. In economics, you should consider all of those. For example, if investing the money would give you interest, then, the opportunity cost of buying the car would be 25 thousand dollars plus lost interest of given up investment.
Another example: When you are a full-time student, the opportunity cost would be: the tuition that you pay plus money that you could have made if you were working and not spending your time at school.
Another example: Let's assume you are living in Pittsburgh and you want to buy a TV. There is a store in Pittsburgh that sells the TV for 500 dollars. However, you find a store in New York that has a TV on sale for 300 dollars. But there is no shipping service. So, you need to go there and pick it up there. What would you do? The true cost of buying the TV from the store in New York is $300 plus all the other costs that you don't need to pay if buy the TV from the Pittsburgh store. If you decide to buy the TV from New York:
- You need to rent a car (if you use your own car, you should consider the wear and tear costs of driving to New York and back).
- You need to pay for gas.
- If you work, you need to take a day off and lose the money that you could have earned.
Next is a short video with more explanation.
Video: What is Opportunity Cost? (2:45)
♪ [music] ♪
[Narrator] What is opportunity cost? Opportunity cost refers to the value a person could have received but passed up in pursuit of another option. So if you were to wait in line for free ice cream, you actually give up the opportunity to do something else with your time, like working at a job or reading a book. So that ice cream really isn't free. Economists even use the concept of opportunity cost to determine if people can benefit from trading with one another. Let's look at a simple example -- just two people, Bob and Ann, who produce just two goods, bananas and fish. Because of the concept of opportunity costs, Ann and Bob are worse off when they try to do everything themselves. Here's what Bob can do if he spends all of his time producing only one good. Bob can either gather 10 bananas, or he can catch 10 fish. And Ann can either gather 10 bananas or catch 30 fish. Bob has to choose to gather bananas or catch fish. When he chooses to gather 1 banana, he gives up 1 fish. In essence, Bob trades with himself. He can use that time to gather bananas or trade that time to catch fish, and the cost of that trade is 1 fish per banana. That's Bob's opportunity cost. The same holds true for Ann, but her cost of producing 1 banana is 3 fish. In the amount of time that it takes Ann to gather 1 banana, she could have caught 3 fish. She trades with herself 1 banana for 3 fish. So Bob only has to give up 1 fish to produce 1 banana, but Ann must give up 3 fish to produce 1 banana. Ann's opportunity cost of gathering a banana is higher than Bob's. If Ann and Bob are allowed to trade with one another, they may be able to gain from specialization if Ann focuses on catching fish, and Bob focuses on gathering bananas. Because our time is valuable, any decision we make has a cost. If we focus our time on tasks we're good at, like Ann and Bob, then we end up in a better position than if we try to do everything ourselves.
♪ [music] ♪
To learn more about the role of specialization in trade, click here. Or, to test your knowledge on opportunity cost, click here.
♪ [music] ♪
Still here? Check out Marginal Revolution University's other popular videos.
♪ [music] ♪
Principle 3: Rational people think at the margin.
“Thinking at the margin” means that we think about the next decision we need to make, and the incremental effects of that decision. Put another way, people have to be forward-looking, because the past is in the past, and nothing can be done to change it.
Principle 4: People respond to incentives.
I will talk about this in more depth in the next section when we address rationality and utility maximization. This principle is intuitively very obvious: every child understands the notion of the carrot and the stick: positive and negative incentives designed to modify behavior. A further examination of this topic leads us to discover that people usually act in their own best interest, so when governments design policies, they have to be sure that they are incentivizing the “right” behavior. An interesting topic has arisen recently: the Estate Tax, which is applied to inheritances, is set to be reinstated at the beginning of 2011 after having lapsed at the end of 2009. This means that a wealthy person dying a few minutes after the coming New Year will leave his or her heirs with a significantly larger tax bill than if he died a few minutes before midnight. Thus, the heirs perhaps have an incentive to see to it that a terminally ill parent dies a little bit earlier. This is what is called a “perverse incentive,” because our society generally frowns upon people trying to cause others to die earlier than they otherwise might. Whenever you participate in an economic transaction, it always helps to think about what incentives the other person in the transaction faces.
Principle 5: Trade can make everyone better off.
I might be inclined to make a stronger statement: that trade MUST make everybody better off, but we can go with Mankiw’s weaker statement for now. The fundamental notion behind voluntary trade is that each party is giving up something in exchange for something that they place a higher value upon. If this were not the case, the person would choose to not make the trade. For example, when I buy a bag of Doritos, the shopkeeper will voluntarily make the trade because I am paying him more money than he paid for the chips, so he’s better off, and I will voluntarily make the trade because I get more happiness from consuming the chips than anything else I could spend that 99 cents on. We’re both made better off by the transaction. We will look at applications of this notion in much more depth later on.
Principle 6: Markets are usually a good way to organize economic activity.
This is another statement that could be made a little more forcefully, but we can let it be. Markets refer to institutions (not just places) that allow people to voluntarily and willingly participate in trades to improve their lives. People sell their labor and brain power to firms, which use it to help them make profits for the owners of those firms. People use the money they earn to purchase goods and services to help them live their lives in a way that best makes them happy. In a truly free-market system, we have millions of individual, voluntary economic transactions taking place every day. In reality, sometimes (or, perhaps, always) markets do not work in this idealized manner, which leads to the next principle.
Principle 7: Governments can sometimes improve market outcomes.
When markets do not work well, we speak of “market failure” (there will be much more on this later in the course). Sometimes a government can intervene in a market, by setting rules or restrictions that enable a better outcome for society than would be obtained through an unfettered free market. Many people believe, for example, that product safety laws or workplace safety rules are unambiguous improvements upon unregulated outcomes. However, the government cannot fix every problem, and sometimes government intervention in a market can end up making things worse for society. This is what is called “government failure,” and we will also look at this in much more depth later on in the course.
The last three principles, which I will simply list below, pertain to macroeconomic issues that will not be addressed in this course.
- Principle 8: A country’s standard of living depends on its ability to produce goods and services.
- Principle 9: Prices rise when the government prints too much money.
- Principle 10: Society faces a short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment.
Utility and Individual Rationality
Utility and Individual RationalityAs outlined in the previous section, we are trying to study why people make the economic decisions that they make. To try to understand this question, we assume that people do things that make them happy. This is not a difficult concept to understand: any time we are faced with a choice, there is an outcome that will make us happier than another outcome. Some choices are not very enjoyable, such as doing our laundry or paying our taxes, but we do so because the alternative will leave us with less happiness: most of us prefer clean clothes to dirty, and most of us prefer to not be hounded into court by the taxman.
Economists don't use the word "happiness," but instead have coined another term: "utility." You might think of a utility as the company that provides your electricity or drinking water, and these have the same root meaning derived from the word "use." In the economic context, think of utility as the use, the value of the use or the happiness derived from the use of some good. Basically, "utility" is the economic catch-all term for whatever benefit we get from the consumption of some economic good, or in a broader sense, the benefit we derive from the outcome of an economic decision.
So, if somebody gets utility from making a decision, and more utility (happiness) is unambiguously better than less, then we make the claim that people are "rational utility maximizers." That is, in every decision that we make, we think rationally about the outcomes and make the choice that gives us the most utility. This is a simple and elegant statement, and it lies at the foundation of modern western economic thought, but it is not completely uncontroversial or even all that uncomplicated. For example, many decisions are not simple yes/no or A/B choices. Sometimes there are many possible choices - indeed, there are usually many possible choices, and we don't always know which of those choices will make us happier for the simple reason that we cannot see the future with perfect foresight. People make uninformed decisions, hurried decisions, unlucky decisions, and just plain wrong decisions every day. We are not perfectly rational, and we usually do not have either the time or knowledge, or foresight to always make the correct decision. This is an area of intense study at the boundaries of contemporary economic thought - several of the recent Nobel prizes in economics have gone to people researching what is called "behavioralism," a field of study that spans economics, psychology, and neurology. In other words, it gets really complicated. So, we make the assumption that people are rational utility maximizers. It may not be perfectly true, but it is reasonably defensible (most of us try to make the best decisions most of the time, and we don't deliberately do things that will hurt ourselves). Most importantly, it gives us a firm foundation to build upon. It is what we call a "simplifying assumption": we can assume it to be true, and doing so will allow us to answer a broad swath of questions about economic decision-making and outcomes. And after we have reasonably answered all of those questions, we can start relaxing our assumptions one at a time to see how the outcome changes. It turns out that, even if you relax the assumption of perfect rationality, most of the answers to the questions do not change in a meaningful or substantive manner.
Money and Utility
It is important to state at this point that money and utility are not the same things. People are not money-maximizers; for example, most of us would rather have the weekends off instead of working a second job. I could take a second job working in a restaurant at night, but I get more happiness spending my evenings at home or out with my family.
However, in this course, and in almost any other study of economics, you will find utility defined in terms of money. This action is defined as "monetization." This is not because we believe that money is everything. It is because we are lazy and want to explain things in simple terms. So, what we are using is using money as a common unit of measure and accounting. For example, for my winter vacation choice, I could go skiing or go to a beach resort in Mexico. In order to measure the happiness obtained from these two choices, we need a common unit of measure, and since money is a universally accepted proxy as a measure of value, that is what we use. So, economists talk about everything in terms of money because doing so makes our lives (and those of students) easier.
Supply and Demand
Supply and DemandIn the first lesson, we spoke of the concept of marginal analysis. That is, we look at how something changes if we change some other thing a little bit. For example, what will be the effect on sales of raising price a little bit? Or what will be the effect on price of adding some new regulations to a market? We also spoke in Lesson One about the concept of "utility," which is the economist's catch-all term to describe happiness, wealth, value-from-use, and so on. Utility is basically the benefits that derive to a person from using or consuming a product or service, or, more generally, the amount of extra happiness a person gets from making a certain decision and executing that choice. One of the axioms we spoke of is that people are utility maximizers, and every choice that is made is made with the goal of increasing utility.
When we speak of demand in a market, we have to consider just how much utility does a person get from consuming a certain good, at the margin. So, we are considering a process of gradual change: how much utility does a person get from consuming one more unit of a good, and how does this change with further consumption? A great deal of research has been performed on this issue, and it generally backs up what we all know intuitively: the more we have consumed of something, the less value the next unit of consumption holds for us. This is defined as the concept of Declining Marginal Utility. This sounds like a complicated piece of jargon, but it helps to think of what each word means, and the concept becomes easy to grasp.
- "Declining" means "decreasing," or "getting smaller."
- "Marginal," as described above, refers to the effect of enacting some small change, i.e., "at the margin."
- "Utility" refers to the happiness we get from doing something.
String these three definitions together, and what we are saying is that the amount of happiness we get from consuming some good goes down as we consume more of it.
So, what does this mean in the context of a market? Well, to consume a good, we have to give up something to get it. Put simply, we have to buy it. So we give away some money, which can be thought of as a measure of potential utility, for a good that gives us actual utility. Since we want to maximize utility, we will willingly trade money for a good as long as we get more utility from consuming a good than we are giving away to get it. I will restate this, as it is perhaps the key underlying principle of a market economy: if someone gets $5 of happiness from consuming something, they will be happy to pay up to $5 for that good. If the price of the good is $6, then a rational utility maximizer will not buy the good: he is giving away $6 worth of utility to get $5 worth of utility. Nobody will do this willingly - if he has full knowledge of the values of the good and the money.
The concept of declining marginal utility is the foundation of demand-curve modeling, which is one side of our market model. This will be described in more depth in the next section.
5.3 Value and Quantity of Light as a Commodity
5.3 Value and Quantity of Light as a CommodityReading Assignment
- J.R. Brownson, Solar Energy Conversion Systems (SECS), Chapter 9: Solar Energy Economics (Focus on The Value, Reserve, and Elasticity of Light.)
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries (See Appendix C: Reserves and Resources.)
- D. Meadows, Thinking in Systems: A Primer, pp 1-9, Bathtubs 101
We want to focus on how the resource units like electricity, heat, daylight, and money derived from SECS have an elasticity of demand. How do we value the products of light, or how do we even value the solar resource itself as an energy reserve? In our reading, we find that sunlight can be analyzed similarly to a mineral reserve like copper ore.
Our decision to choose solar technologies often depends on the value that we place on light and the value of the resource units derived from shortwave light. You are going to need to think about light as a commodity, or a good that is interchangeable with other goods/services. This is a bit abstract, so take some time to reflect at the end of the page.
Flow vs. Stock Energy Reserves
Stocks and flows exist in nature and in society. We see stocks in business. In nature, a lake is a stock of water, with a river flowing into it. And the Sun is a stock of nuclear fusion yielding a flow of radiant energy.
- Potential: a driving force for flow.
- Flow: a dynamic entity connected to a stock that either supplies or depletes the stock; can be a change in mass, energy, or information with respect to time.
- Stock: an entity that has accumulated over time due to flows; can be stored potential, or a resource system that replenishes itself (like the fusion in the Sun).
- Resource system: often an environmental stock (and could be a human institution).
- Resource units: the flow of a useful resource that a client may appropriate from a resource system.
A resource system is considered renewable if the rate of withdrawal from the stock does not exceed the rate of resource replenishment. In the case of shortwave light, the solar resource system has physical conditions that define an upper limit of flow without disturbing or harming the constitution of the stock. We can't really withdraw sunlight at a faster rate than it comes to us. Hence, sunlight is flow-limited.
A resource system is considered non-renewable if the rate of withdrawal from the stock exceeds the rate of resource replenishment. In the case of geofuels, the process to make them takes 10s-100s of millions of years (and heat/pressure underground), yet the rate of withdrawal can be almost as fast as we want. Hence, geofuels are stock-limited.
The "Quantity" of Light
Compared to what is available on Mars, the quantity of light is abundant on Earth! Even between the Arctic Circles (), there is a great abundance of light available to society to do work. As a society, we are not as skilled at transforming light into useful work as we are at transforming fuel into useful work. We are still struggling to frame light as a valued good, especially as it is all around us every day. So, let's take a look at that value structure.
The value of light from the Sun is variable. There is "less" of an energetic resource from the Sun in the annual irradiation budget for Germany than in the US state of Georgia, yet the value of solar power (as electricity) is much higher in Germany than in Georgia. So is the value of the light to the clients relative to the "quantity" of light, or relative to other parameters.
In the mineral economics of commodity goods, the value of the resource units will vary with respect to two general driving forces:
- demand for the good or service, and
- cost of alternatives.
If the demand for a good goes up, the value of the resource units will go up. If the cost of an alternative good goes up (like the price of geofuels), then the value of the resource units (like solar) will go up.
Light as a Mineral Resource (Commodity)
An increased demand for a mineral commodity will increase the value, and a high cost of alternative goods will increase the value.
Value and quantity are joint properties here. As such, the "quantity" of a mineral reserve can expand or shrink in response to three main pressures. Solar resources follow the same commodity trend. In the case of the solar resource framed as a type of mineral reserve, the solar reserve is available when it is economically feasible, expanding and contracting in response to the following three pressures. That is to say, there are three levels that open up, or expand, the solar reserve in a given locale.
The value of an unconverted photon is a variable quantity, much like the value of a mineral resource in a geologic formation. Once again, the value of any commodity varies with the demand for the good and the costs of alternatives. The three main drivers that affect the valuation of light as quantified mineral reserve are:
- increased demand by clients seeking to avoid fuel costs (choosing an alternative to fuel);
- technological advances that reduce materials costs and/or installation costs;
- presence of incentives (often government incentives).
Let us compare the way in which light is valued with the way that a metal ore (in this case, zinc) is valued. An ore is an unrefined rock composed of minerals, which contains a raw metal that is valued, but which must be processed to access that metal. In our reading from the USGS Commodity Statistics, Appendix C, we see that an entire lexicon has been developed for classifying mineral resources. (This site as a whole is also an excellent public resource for evaluating mineral reserves from the US perspective.) We have since classified geofuels as "minerals" in the commodity perspective. So, why not extend the concept outward to the commodity of light, and the derived goods and services?
The following terms are within the textbook reading, and were developed from the U.S. Geological Survey Circular 831, Principles of a Resource/Reserve Classification for Minerals (1980). Note the difference among a resource, a reserve base, and a reserve.
- Resource: material or energy source occurring natively in or on the Earth, with a form, concentration, and quantity such that economic collection and/or conversion of that commodity is currently or potentially feasible. (We could apply this to light, right?)
- Identified Resources: specific resources where the location, grade, quality, and quantity are known from specific meteorological evidence, or where the resource has been estimated. Identified solar resources encompass regions that are economic, marginally economic, and sub-economic. As a reflection of the degrees of meteorological confidence, the economic divisions can be subdivided into components of measured, indicated, and inferred.
- Reserve Base: an identified resource meeting minimum criteria related to a specified solar energy conversion technology practice currently employed to convert to useful work.
- Reserve: the portion of the reserve base that can be economically converted at the time of determination (the locale).

Figure 5.1 The potential valuation of the solar resource in a given locale, but framed as a mineral resource, in accordance with USGS commodities structure for mineral resources
A table shows a two-axis categorical relationship between knowledge of the solar resource and the ability to economically exploit the resource.
On the first axis, three categories describe decreasing levels of knowledge of the resource: “Measured” (measure a few ground sites well), “Indicated” (satellite mapping of resources) and “Inferred” (geospatial mapping by interpolation). The combination of Measured and Indicated resources are termed “Demonstrated,” while all three categories together are termed “Identified Solar Resources.”
The second axis also contains three categories, which describe decreasing levels of economic return from the resource. “Economic” resources are described with the terms: fuel costs are high/annual resource is high/incentives exist/solar tech costs dropping. “Marginally Economic” resources are described with: fuel costs exist/resource is significant/solar tech costs dropping. “Subeconomic” resources can be described by: fuel costs very low/resource may be significant (or not).
Intersections between these category axes are described with text labels. Reserves are shown at the intersection of Demonstrated and Economic resources, while Inferred and Economic resources are termed Inferred Reserves. Marginal Reserves and Inferred Marginal Reserves occur for Marginally Economic resources that are Demonstrated and Inferred, respectively. Demonstrated Subeconomic Resources and Inferred Subeconomic Resources are the last two labelled combinations, and are self-explanatory. An example of Demonstrated Subeconomic Resources is given as those occurring beyond the arctic circle. Arrows and text indicate that as the Reserves move from Economic to Marginally Economic to Subeconomic, the reserve base is expanding. A final category of resource is listed separately from the main table with the heading “Other Occurrences,” and lists non-conventional and low-grade light sources.
A final text box is shown separate, but alongside the table, which describes Cumulative Production of the resource as exponential growth with doubling deployed production every 1-2 years.
5.4 Price Elasticity of Demand
5.4 Price Elasticity of DemandReading Assignment
- J.R. Brownson, Solar Energy Conversion Systems (SECS), Chapter 9: Measure & Estimation of the Solar Resource (Focus on The Value, Reserve, and Elasticity of Light.)
When we are "thinking on the margin," what do we mean? When an incremental change occurs in the price of a SECS or in the alternative price of electricity from the grid, how do we respond? Do we jump in, or do we wait and see?
Elasticity of Demand
In economics, the measured response (in the market) of how the quantity of a product in demand is changed by the incremental change in the price of that product is termed price elasticity of demand. The demand is considered elastic if a small change (like a decrease) in price leads to people demanding more of the product. The demand in considered to be inelastic if a large change (again, a decrease) in price does not lead to people demanding more of the product. The elasticity of demand for solar power will depend on a few general rules, and we will try to contain our examples to solar scenarios for a client or group of stakeholders.
Criteria for Elasticity
The price of PV just changed. What do you do? Do you go out and invest in a PV system for your roof, or do you wait and see? Clients and consumers (us too!) are influenced by several criteria. The four main factors affecting the price elasticity of demand are:
- availability of close substitutes;
- whether the form of energy is a necessity or luxury;
- how large a share of a consumer's income the good will consume; and
- the time horizon over which the change occurs.
First, one evaluates the availability of close substitutes for the particular SECS of interest. If the desired useful energy form or technology has many available close substitutes, then it will be easier for clients/stakeholders to switch among goods for the same desired feature, and the demand will tend to be elastic.
Next, we ask, is the energy form a necessity or a luxury? Our electricity from the coal/nuclear power plant is typically a necessity right (and thus inelastic)? Is there anything about residential PV that seems to be a luxury to families? When did mobile phones stop being a luxury and become a necessity in modern society?
What share of income can an individual or firm (as clients) devote to paying off a loan for solar technologies or directly purchasing a SECS? If a SECS consumes a large share of my income, what tradeoffs will I need to consider (what will I have to give up in return)?
Finally, when making decisions for energy systems, we must consider the time horizon, or the period of evaluation. For energy consumers, when the cost of energy (in dollars per kilowatt-hour, $/kWh) goes up briefly (on the order of hours or days, or for one month) there's not much that they can do to respond. As such, the price elasticity of demand is said to be inelastic for shorter time horizons. In contrast, when the period of evaluation is framed in terms of decades, as is done for PV systems that have productive life cycles of 30-50 years, then the client perspective can shift and become more elastic. When you buy a house, you're in it for the long-term, right? Similar thinking with SECSs.
Video Perspectives
And now for two short perspectives on the Price Elasticity of Demand to complement the reading. Please watch the following two videos: "Episode 16: Elasticity of Demand" by Dr. Mary J. McGlasson, and "Elasticity - Characteristics that determine elasticity" (Dr. McGlasson is an economics faculty at the Chandler-Gilbert Community College.) I want you to think about solar energy and the resource units derived from the conversion of shortwave light.
Video: Episode 16: Elasticity of Demand (9:33)
Elasticity of Demand
PRESENTER: There are many types of elasticity. In particular, I'll focus on the price elasticity of demand. Before I get into specific discussion of elasticity, let me ask you a question. If a business wants to generate more revenue, should it raise the price of its product or lower the price of its product?
I ask because I have a friend who runs a children's bookstore, and when she found out that I was an economist, she asked me this question. Well, actually, she asked if she should be giving an educator discount, but what this really meant, was that she wanted to know if she should discount, or lower, her prices.
So, generally, what would you say? Should a business owner increase prices or decrease prices, in order to generate more revenue?
The answer-- as usual-- is, it depends. Think about it. When your local electric company wants to raise more revenue, it will enact a rate increase. Yet, when an airline wants to quickly generate additional revenue, it will cut ticket prices. Which approach is correct? They both are.
Here's the issue. If I raise my prices, I know that quantity demanded, or the willingness to purchase on the part of my consumers, will drop-- that's just the law of demand. But what the law of demand doesn't tell me is how much the quantity demanded will drop.
When I raise my price, will my customers be very sensitive to the price increase? Cutting back a lot on their purchases? This would be bad for me because I'd lose a lot of revenue. But if I raise my price and my customers only buy a little bit less, not reacting too much to the price increase, this is good. I'd see increased overall revenue.
So, the crucial issue here is to find out how sensitive my customers will be to a price change. Elasticity is a measure of sensitivity, or responsiveness, to price. In equation form, the elasticity of demand, or ED, is equal to the percentage change in quantity demanded over the percentage change in price. Because demand exhibits an inverse or negative relationship, elasticity of demand will be a negative number.
I use percentage change to measure elasticity, rather than absolute change. Let me illustrate why.
If I tell you that product price has gone up by $1, this would be the absolute change. Is this a big change or a small change?
It depends. What's the product? More to the point, what was the original price?
Look, say we're talking about a pack of gum. Originally, the price was 1 dollar, now it's 2 dollars. This represents an absolute change of 1 dollar, but is it a big change or a small change? It's actually a pretty big change-- price doubled, or increased, by 100%.
What if we're talking about a textbook, rather than a pack of gum? Originally, the price was 100 dollars, now it's 101 dollars. This is still an absolute change of 1 dollar, but is it a big change or a small change?
In this case, it's a small change. Price has increased by 1%.
Bottom line is, that we need to know not only the dollar amount of the price change, but also, how this compares to where we started.
Now, technically, the formula for elasticity of demand is the percentage change in quantity demanded over the percentage change in price, which can be found by taking the ratio of the difference between the new and the old quantities over the average of the new and the old quantities, all over the ratio the difference between the new and the old price over the averages of the new and the old prices.
Frankly, I've found that if I use this version of the elasticity formula, students' eyes glaze over. People get so hung up on the math that they lose sight of the intuition and what elasticity means, so I'll be sticking to the slightly easier form and will frame my questions for you accordingly.
How would you actually use this formula? Take a look at this article about the Clinton administration's proposed cigarette tax policy. If you look at the last paragraph, you'll find enough information to determine the elasticity of demand for youth smoking. Remember, elasticity of demand is the percentage change in quantity demanded over the percentage change in price.
The article states that for every 10% increase in price, there is a 7% decrease in youth smoking. This means that elasticity of demand-- according to the formula-- is minus 7% over plus 10%, or negative 0.7.
OK. Now what do I do? I know that the elasticity of demand for youth smoking is minus 0.7, but what does it mean? The critical component to look at when dealing with elasticity of demand is the magnitude-- how big is this number?
The bigger the number, the more people respond to the price. The smaller the number, the less people respond to price. The fact that the number is negative only signifies that demand is a negative or inverse relationship between price and quantity demanded.
Since I care about the size of the elasticity number, rather than the sign, let's make things easier and just look at the absolute value-- or the size only-- of elasticity of demand. In this example, the absolute value of the elasticity of demand is 0.7. Again, what does this number really mean? What does it tell us?
Ultimately, the key value where elasticity is concerned is one, in the case of youth demand for cigarettes, the size of the elasticity figure is less than one. Since elasticity of demand equals the percentage change in quantity demanded over the percentage change in price, this means that the absolute value of this ratio is less than one.
It follows then, in order for this ratio to be less than one, it must be the case that the size of the price change is greater than the size of the quantity change.
What this tells me, is that it takes a relatively large price change to initiate a relatively small quantity demanded reaction. In other words, if the elasticity of demand is less than one, people don't react much to price changes. They're insensitive to price changes or their demand is inelastic.
Question-- does this make sense that where cigarettes are concerned, people don't react much to price changes?
Note that the article specifies data for youth smoking. Do you think that youth sensitivity to cigarette prices is any different from adult sensitivity? Which group would respond more to a price change-- youth smokers or adult smokers?
If you thought that youth smokers would respond more to a price change than adult smokers, you're right. Adults tend to have more disposable income so a price increase affects them less. In addition, the nicotine addiction is likely to be stronger for someone who's been smoking longer. This means that the size of elasticity for adults will be even smaller than the magnitude of the elasticity of demand for youth smokers, indicating a smaller reaction to any price change.
One last question for you, regarding inelastic demand. If the absolute value of the electricity of demand is less than one-- that is, people don't respond much to a price change-- would you raise your price or lower your price, to generate more revenue?
Well, the demand for electricity is inelastic. When the price changes, people tend to purchase about the same amount of electricity. We don't like the rate increases, but other than trying to conserve a bit here or there, we continue to consume the electricity. This means that the electric company could raise prices quite a bit and not see very much decrease in the quantity demanded. As a result, total revenue-- price per unit times the number of units sold-- will increase overall.
What if the absolute value of the elasticity had been greater than one? That would mean that the absolute value of the percent change in quantity demanded over the percent change in price is greater than one, which could only be true if the size of the quantity change is greater than the size of the price change. So, having a value of the elasticity that's greater than one, indicates a relatively large quantity demanded reaction, to a relatively small price change or demand is elastic.
Question-- if it's a case that demand is elastic, would you raise your price or lower your price, in order to generate more revenue? Answer-- demand for airline tickets is fairly elastic, meaning that customers react a lot to fairly small price changes; so, by decreasing prices a little bit, the airlines will see a relatively large increase in quantity demanded or ticket sales. Overall, this would yield greater total revenue.
Is it possible for elasticity of demand to be equal to one? Technically, it is. If so, the size of the quantity change is going to be equal to the size of the price change. The changes exactly offset one another. That is, a 10% increase in price, results in a 10% decrease in quantity demanded, and there would be no change in total revenue.
Next time, characteristics that determine elasticity of demand.
Video: Elasticity - Characteristics that determine elasticity (1:46)
Elasticity - Characteristics that determine elasticity
Hi everybody! It’s Dr. McGlasson. I’m here, ready for my weekly fill-up on my car. You may have noticed that gas prices tend to fluctuate a lot.
Today, I'm looking at 2.72 point 9 a gallon, and the question is, am I going to react very much to that?
One thing that I didn’t address in my video that you watched on elasticity is the characteristics that determine elasticity of demand. One of them is: is the product a luxury or a necessity?
Well, for me, I need to drive to work, I need to drive to get my daughter to school, I need to drop her off at the babysitter, so I have to have the gasoline. So, my demand would be inelastic.
The second one would be: are there a lot of substitutes for gasoline? And frankly, for my old car, a 1997, it's not going to run on anything but gas, so I don't have any substitute goods that I could purchase.
The third one would be: what's the share in my budget?
Now, for other people, this may be different, if they make less money than I do, but I do have a doctorate. I do have a pretty good job, and the gas prices aren’t a huge share of my budget, so it doesn’t make a big difference when the prices fluctuate a bit.
The last one is time: how much time is available to make the purchase? When I’m running on empty; I don’t have a lot of time to think about it, so I need to get my gasoline and I'm not going to worry about the price. So, you tell me, is my demand going to be elastic or inelastic?
Self-Check
5.5 Energy Constraint and Response
5.5 Energy Constraint and ResponseReading Assignment
- J.R. Brownson, Solar Energy Conversion Systems (SECS), Chapter 9: Solar Energy Economics (Focus on Energy Constraint and Response.)
Now, I want you to think about why some groups across society perceive solar energy as "diffuse" and why others perceive that same resource as "abundant" and an opportunity.
Hypothesis of the Energy Constraint Response
When fuels (geofuels, biomass) are effectively:
- accessible,
- unconstrained, and
- inexpensive,
light and the associated Solar Energy Conversion Systems are not perceived as a viable alternative. Light is framed as diffuse and insufficient to do work.
However, when fuels are:
- constrained, or
- inaccessible,
then light and the associated Solar Energy Conversion Systems are counter-interpreted as ubiquitous and vast, and capable as a viable alternative.
Fuel Constraints
Our energy use in society is coupled to the locale and to our comfort expectations. Energy use is also coupled to the availability of inexpensive fuel resources. The four main factors constraining fuels are described below:
- physical inaccessibility due to regional resource depletion (e.g., deforestation) or supply chain disruptions (e.g., oil embargo),
- exceptionally high demand for fuels that outstrips supply,
- fuels being accessible, but only at high risk to the community, and
- fuels constrained by socially restraining policies, regulations, and laws.
5.6 Discussion Activity
5.6 Discussion ActivityLesson 5 Discussion in Yellowdig!
In this lesson we have been discussing the value of goods in an economic sense. The tendency in the public is to judge the value of a solar technology in a given locale based on metrics (perceived or measured) of the quantity of light (MWh). But I would like you to consider an alternate valuation system related to the value of a mineral resource.
So, this week discuss the following questions in Yellowdig:
- Please offer your perspective for the valuation of light as a mineral resource (as opposed to relative to the quantity of light) in a given locale, where the unit cost of that mineral resource is presented in $/Wp (dollars per peak watt).
Note: Here the subscript "p" stands for "peak", meaning that system performance is measured at AM1.5 lab conditions of 1000 W/m2 solar shortwave spectrum irradiance and cell temperature of 25°C. It is a way to normalize performance when comparing modules/systems. The peak watt is also used to describe the "installed capacity" of solar farms or rooftops. - Which metrics - irradiation (MWh) or dollars per peak watt ($/Wp) do you think will be more important to communicate to a client and stakeholders for solar energy project design?
Another topic in this lesson that deserves some discussion is the hypothesis of energy constraint response. You already had a chance to review your locale sunlight resource and perception earlier in this class, so do you see any evidence of this hypothesis being true for the area you live in?
You can review the following information to develop your conclusion on this topic:
- Does your family or do your friends in the area feel that you have "enough" sunlight?
- What is the cost of electricity in your area (0.06/kWh is low, and 0.12/kWh is considered high)?
- Are there any incentives in your area for solar energy?
- How active is the solar market in your area?
Do you think that the above observations support or disprove the hypothesis of the energy constraint response? I would be curious to hear your opinion.
When thinking about the solar resource in an economic framework, try to be objective and describe the conditions that you observe around you, rather than what you think "ought" to be happening. Most of us have not really framed the solar conditions in rational terms. If you have conflicting ideas about light and irradiance from your own background, feel free to discuss those and see what others think.
Tagging
When you create a post in the Yellowdig discussion space, you are required to choose a topic tag. For Lesson 5 discussions, please use these tags:

You can tag your post with one or several topics at the same time (just be sure to address all those in your post). All posts and contributions you create are added up to one score at the end of the week.
Importance of interaction
Yellowdig tip: Post early in the study week - that way you have higher chance of generating interest and traffic on your post, which gets you points!
Grading
Yellowdig points you earn over the weekly point earning period (from Saturday to next Friday) will count towards 1000 pts. weekly target. But you can go above it (to 1350 pts. max). Yellowdig discussions will account for 15% of the total grade in the course. Check back the Orientation Yellowdig page in Canvas for more details on the points earning rules.
Deadline
There is no hard deadline for participating in these discussions, but I encourage you to create your posts early in the study week to allow others to engage and respond while we are learning specific topics in the lesson. Also, remember that each weekly point earning cycle ends Friday night, and a new period starts on Saturday.
5.7 Summary and Final Tasks
5.7 Summary and Final TasksYou have reached the end of Lesson 5!
Summary
Good work completing our first lesson dealing with solar economics! We have transitioned from the dense topics of spherical trigonometry, meteorology, and component modeling (Lessons 2, 3, and 4) into the driving forces for our clients to make the decision to adopt a solar energy conversion system. In this lesson, we learned that our clients are situated on the demand side of the energy economic framework, and consumers such as our clients are called utility maximizers.
We saw that there are two general motives to shift the value of any commodity from the perspective of a consumer: demand for a good and the cost of alternatives. Specifically, within the solar field, the three main drivers that affect the valuation of light are:
- Increased demand by clients seeking to avoid fuel costs (choosing an alternative to fuel);
- Technological advances that reduce materials costs and/or installation costs;
- Presence of incentives (often government incentives).
Each of these should make sense within the framework by Mankiw for microeconomic principles. We also observed how light can be put in the context of a mineral commodity, much like the USGS has done for geofuels. The solar resource as a reserve is a variable quantity depending upon the value of that resource in a given locale. As such, value and quantity are joint properties.
Also, the measured response (in the market) of how the quantity of demand is changed by the incremental change in the price is termed price elasticity of demand. The demand is considered elastic if a small change in price leads to people demanding more of the product. The demand is considered to be inelastic if a large change in price does not lead to people demanding more of the product.
Finally, we tied all of the economic forces and responses together with the Hypothesis of the Energy Constraint Response. There is historical evidence across many locales, in the USA and abroad, for solar adoption tied to fuel constraints. We can even consider the pressure of climate change as a new fuel constraint for society, leading to increased demand for solar energy resource units.
Reminder - Complete all of the Lesson 5 tasks!
You have reached the end of Lesson 5! Double-check the to-do list on the Lesson 5 Learning Outcomes page to make sure you have completed all of the activities listed there before you begin Lesson 6.