Lesson 7 Connection Video
Lesson 7 Connection VideoPost War Order (3:19)
Transcript: Post War Order (3:19)
One of the things I found most interesting as we move into the postwar era is how global the oil industry became.
It is an industry that is driven more by international economics and global logistics than by national policies or interests.
Yes, companies must obey the law, and we learned in this lesson how complicated the relationship can be between a company and the country in which it operates. What I'm talking about, however, is how companies view the marketplace regardless of where they are headquartered or the countries from which they originated.
They view the marketplace as a global organism. Companies seek to maintain their sources of supply, supply chains, and customer markets. By operating globally, they can work around specific national complexities.
Today, we see ongoing debates in the news about national security and energy independence from a policy standpoint. A country must carefully consider how much it depends on others for its oil supply and whether those relationships create risks.
From a company's perspective, however, oil will be sourced from wherever it is available in order to supply market demand. This reality drives imports. If national policy restricts domestic production but demand for oil remains, companies will obtain oil from wherever they can in order to satisfy that demand.
In this lesson, we read about Aramco as one example of agreements made to secure access to Middle Eastern oil.
During my time in the oil industry, when I worked for Mobil Oil, we were an Aramco partner. People from our office in Dallas would take turns serving on assignments in Saudi Arabia and working with the Aramco team. This continued regardless of the political issues that may have existed between the U.S. government and the Saudi Arabian government.
At times, it seemed as though there were two parallel universes: government interactions and private-sector interactions.
This situation is fairly typical. As much as we hear about tensions among the United States, Russia, Iran, and China, I regularly attend international technical and scientific conferences where representatives from all of these countries participate and collaborate as professional colleagues.
What lessons should we remember from this week?
I found three.
First, sometimes things are very convenient, and it is easy to become overly dependent on them. The Suez Canal crisis that we studied is a great example. Once the canal became a major oil transportation route, the world became so dependent on it that conflict in the region created major disruptions. Fortunately, the market learned from that experience and adapted to reduce its dependence.
Second, sometimes the solution is right in front of you, but you may not recognize it immediately. Natural gas proved to be an effective way to address energy shortages during times of need, even though it was initially viewed as an inconvenience. We saw this lesson repeated in recent decades when natural gas contributed to a period of energy independence.
Third, a major discovery can completely change the global situation. Those who were once in control may suddenly find themselves in a different position. The discovery of North Sea oil dramatically changed the global oil landscape, especially in Europe. For the first time, Europe possessed a major oil resource of its own and was less dependent on others.
Interestingly, during my years in the oil industry, not only were we part of Aramco, but we also had several offices in countries bordering the North Sea.
We may be witnessing a similar shift in power here in the United States with the recent lithium discovery. If the discovery proves to be as significant as expected, U.S. dependence on other countries for lithium used in electric vehicle production could change dramatically, making the United States a major producer.