Lesson 10 - Advanced Financial Derivatives - Swaps, Spreads, and Options

Lesson 10 - Advanced Financial Derivatives - Swaps, Spreads, and Options Anonymous

Lesson 10 Introduction

Lesson 10 Introduction mrs110

Overview

In Lesson 7, we focused on “futures” markets and how simple hedges can be accomplished using exchange-traded contracts. Those provide the "building blocks" for the more advanced hedging tools. Here, we will address the “over-the-counter,” non-exchange traded markets, or “forward” contracts. Keep in mind that NYMEX Exchange contracts are referred to as “futures.” We will also cover financial “spreads” whereby traders take advantage of price differences based on location, time, or inter-commodity relationships. Finally, we will deal with financial options, which are a simpler and less costly form of hedging vs. the financial derivative contracts themselves.

Key Learning Points – Energy Risk Hedging Using Swaps, Spreads, and Options

  • Exchange-traded energy contracts are known as “futures,” whereas non-exchange traded contracts are known as “forwards."
  • These are traded on electronic trading platforms or over the phone with licensed brokers.
  • “Swaps” are exchanges of payments between two parties. They are strictly financial. No physical exchange of the commodity takes place.
  • One party to the transaction agrees to pay a current market price (“fixed”) while the other agrees to pay a price in the future (“floating”) which is the "settlement" price for this arrangement.
  • They are a simpler and less expensive way to hedge price risk as the price difference is what matters and not the price itself.
  • One very important swap is natural gas “basis swap,” which is a market-determined value that represents the difference between the NYMEX Henry Hub contract delivery point for natural gas and other physical (cash) natural gas trading points in North America.
  • Spreads are merely price differences between commodities that are interrelated somehow, have differing locations, or represent different months of the same commodity.
  • They are traded for hedge purposes (reduce price risk) or outright trading (speculate on price spread movement).
  • Energy options are yet another, simpler way to hedge price risk. They are less expensive than the outright purchase or sale of the underlying contracts. We will cover the types of energy options and their uses:
    • call options
    • put options
    • hedging with options

Learning Outcomes

At the successful completion of this lesson, students should be able to:

  • explain the following financial derivatives and their uses:
    • swaps,
    • spreads,
    • options;
  • comprehend the importance of the natural gas basis swap and its application in hedging locational price risk;
  • apply advanced financial derivatives to energy commodity hedging;
  • list the components of an options contract;
  • outline the inputs to the Black-Scholes model for options valuation

What is due for this lesson?

This lesson will take us one week to complete. The following items will be due Sunday at 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time

  • Lesson 10 Quiz
  • Lesson 10 activities as assigned in Canvas

Questions?

If you have any questions, please post them to our General Course Questions discussion forum (not email), located under Modules in Canvas. The TA and I will check that discussion forum daily to respond. While you are there, feel free to post your own responses if you, too, are able to help out a classmate.

Reading Assignment: Lesson 10

Reading Assignment: Lesson 10 Anonymous

Reading Assignment:

Seng - Chapter 7, 8, and 9

Errera & Brown - Chapters 4 & 6
This text is available to registered students via the Penn State Library.

Key Points of Emphasis

  • Non-exchanged traded financial derivatives are known as "over-the-counter" (OTC).
  • Swaps and spreads trade OTC while options are exchanged and OTC traded.
  • Swaps are exchanges of payments between two buyers are financially settled.
  • Swaps are normally "fixed-for-floating" whereby one price is the current market price ("fixed") and the other price is the future settlement price ("floating").
  • Spreads are trades which occur between commodity locations and times, as well as intra-market and inter-market.
  • Options give the holder of the option the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a commodity at a particular price for a specific date and location in the future.
  • Options are price risk insurance, and a premium is paid for options contracts.
  • Premiums paid are substantially less than the outright commodity contracts.
  • Option premiums are determined using mathematical models. The most well-known is the Black-Sholes.
  • "Put" options give the buyer a "floor" price, whereas "call" options establish a "ceiling" price for the buyer.
  • Options buyers are only exposed to the cost of the premiums.
  • The seller (writer) of an option assumes all the risk.

Financial Energy Swaps

Financial Energy Swaps Anonymous

Swaps represent exchanges of payments between two parties. They are financially settled, and no physical commodity is delivered or received by either party. They represent a substitute for the futures contracts but rely on NYMEX pricing to establish the financial arrangement for the swap contract. Similar to a NYMEX contract, the elements of a swap contract include the commodity, location, date, and price.

We use the phrase “fixed-for-floating” swap to signify the prices agreed to by both parties in the contract. The “fixed” price is always the current market price. It is the price known at the time the deal is struck. The exchange of payments will occur when the NYMEX settlement price is known. We refer to this settlement price as the “floating” one, since it is not known until the contract’s last trading day and “floats” with each day’s trading until then. The difference between the two represents the amount of payment due to one party or the other.

For example, as of this writing, the December 2019 NYMEX crude oil contract is trading $62.69. If I bought a swap, I would be setting my contract price at $62.69. On November 20th, 2019, this contract will settle, and the difference between my $62.69 and the NYMEX Final Settlement price that day, will be the amount exchanged between me and my counterparty. If the contract settles at $63.19, since I bought the swap, I would be selling it back at that price for a profit of $0.50 per contract and, my counterparty would pay me $0.50 per contract (1,000 Bbl), or $500. On the other hand, if the contract settled at $62.19, I would be selling the contracts back at a loss of ($0.50) and I would pay my counterparty $0.50 per contract, or $500. The calculations are the same as those shown in Lesson 7's hedging spreadsheet.

As we learned in previous lessons, Futures contracts are standard contracts. However, swaps can be customized. This is another advantage of swaps that make them popular. The advantage of using swaps for hedging is that you can achieve the same price protection without actually having to buy or sell NYMEX contracts. And you can work with brokers either by phone ("Voice" Brokers) or through an electronic trading platform such as "The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)".

In a previous lesson and in the textbook, we discussed the fact that physical entities wishing to hedge must take a position in the financial market which is the opposite of their physical position. For instance, a crude oil producer is "long" the commodity. Therefore, in order to execute a proper hedge, they must go "short" in the financial derivative they choose. In Lesson 7, I presented how the physical and financial prices interact in a hedge. The same applies to swaps as to the NYMEX contracts themselves.

Key Learning Points for the Mini-Lecture: Financial Energy Swaps

  • “Swaps” are exchanges of payments between two parties. They are strictly financial. No physical exchange of the commodity takes place.
  • One party to the transaction agrees to pay a current market price (“fixed”) while the other agrees to pay a price in the future (“floating”).
  • They are a simpler and less expensive way to hedge price risk.
  • One very important swap is a “basis swap” which is a market-determined value that represents the difference between the NYMEX Henry Hub and other natural gas trading points in North America.
  • For basis swaps, the "fixed" price or, "known" is the current market price which can be obtained through electronic platforms such as NYMEX Clearport or ICE. In addition, some brokers will give quotes over the phone. The "floating" price becomes known when the NYMEX contract for the particular month settles and the monthly index ("postings" we addressed in Lesson 5) for the cash location is published. This is known as the "actual" or "settlement" basis and represents the other value in settling the swap.

The following mini-lecture is a summary of the points presented above (3:37 minutes).

EBF 301 Lesson 10 Swaps

In this lesson, we're going to talk about some of the more advanced financial derivatives. Now, you'll find some pretty extensive notes in the actual lesson content page, so I'm going to do a summary here with these slides. And the first financial derivative that we're going to talk about is a swap.

Now, a swap is an exchange of payments between two parties. It can be a form of hedging, it can also be used for outright trading, so speculative traders can use swaps to try and make some revenue. These are generally known as over-the-counter. That is, they're not traded on an official exchange, such as NYMEX, but you do find them on electronic platforms, such as NYMEX's clear port or the Intercontinental Exchange. And then, also, swaps can be had by dealing with the so-called Voice Brokers-- literally a broker that you call up and arrange for a swap transaction. Now, these are strictly financial. In most cases, there is no physical commodity involved. You're strictly swapping out price.

Now, there are two pieces in a swap agreement. One is a fixed price and the other is a floating price. So, we refer to swaps as fixed for floating. One party will pay a fixed price at the time that the swap is actually entered into. And the other pays the floating price, and that's the price that is not known at the time. You have to wait till settlement of the respective underlying contract.

Now, we talk about the NYMEX look-alike because it's the most commonly used swap. It's a Henry Hub financial swap, and one party buys or sells at the current market, which would be the fixed or known price, in other words, whatever the NYMEX is currently trading at. And then the counterparty buys or sells, so the opposite party is going to take the opposite position. They'll buy or sell based on the NYMEX settlement. Now, this is your floating price, and it's unknown at the time of the swap transaction. So, in other words, the price floats as we know every day as NYMEX changes.

So, you set a price on the day that you enter into the swap for the specific month and the commodity that you are interested in. And then, in essence, the two counterparties, you and your counterparty, are going to wait until the NYMEX contract settles. And then, you're going to go ahead and true up, see who owes who money. And again, it's financially settled every month.

And then, we've also addressed the basis swaps. Again, there's more detail and specific examples in the lesson content. But really, in the case of a basis swap, we're looking at the current market value.

Now, the current market value you can find on NYMEX's clear port system. Or, if you have access to the Intercontinental Exchange, you will see natural gas basis swaps quotes for the various cash locations that we have reviewed in the publications, such as Platt's. And then, we have to come up with the second part of this, in other words, the floating price. We can fix the price based on the values on those electronic platforms I mentioned. But then, to settle with our counterparty, we have to wait until the settlement of the basis. Now, we know when a NYMEX final settlement occurs, and so we'll have that piece of the basis swaps settlement, but then we're waiting for the cash prices to come out. So, in other words, Platt's has their monthly price guide, or as I noted, it's more commonly known as the Inside FERC postings. So, those are the first-of-month cash prices for the respective location. And when you take the NYMEX settlement, and you find that cash location, that difference becomes what we call actual basis. It is the settlement price for the basis swap for that particular location.

Credit: Tom Seng

Financial Energy Spreads

Financial Energy Spreads Anonymous

“Spread” trading can be used for hedging purposes or purely for trading (“arbitrage”). Spread trading involves taking a long position in one futures contract and simultaneously taking a short position in another, related futures contract. Thus, spread consists of two equal and opposite futures positions. In spread trading, futures or forwards can be used to achieve the desired results. A buy/sell is offset by a corresponding sell/buy. Spread trading involves using price differences in futures or forwards based upon inter-market (time differences, locational differences) and inter-market commodity relationships.

Examples of the types of spreads are:

  1. Inter-market (inter-commodity) Spread – Buy/sell differing but related commodities
    • “Crack” Spread
      Buy crude oil/sell heating oil or gasoline (HO/RBOB is “cracked” from CL).
    • “Frack” Spread
      Buy natural gas/sell propane (midstream natural gas companies process natural gas into propane and other NGLs).
    • “Spark” Spread
      Buy natural gas/sell electricity (electric generators can use natural gas to produce power).
  2. Intra-market (intra-commodity) Spread – Buy/sell same commodities
    • Time Spread (often called a “storage” spread)
      Buy a natural gas contract in May/sell it in January.
      Buy a heating oil contract in April/sell it in December.
    • Locational Spread
      Buy NYMEX crude (WTI) contract/sell Brent (North Sea) crude contract.
      Buy NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas/sell a different cash market Hub ("Basis" value).

In addition to traders who are merely interested in price movement to make money, commercial entities can use spreads to hedge their price risk. For example, as mentioned above, a crude oil refiner can buy crude contracts (hedge price of feedstock) and sell heating oil and unleaded gasoline contracts (refined output) to establish a profit margin or “crack” spread. This hedge is illustrated in the spreadsheet, "EBF-301 Lesson 10 refinery hedge.xls" found in Canvas Lesson 10: Advanced Financial Derivatives - Swaps, Spreads, and Options Module.

Key Learning Points for the Mini-Lecture: Financial Energy Spreads

  • Spreads are merely price differences between commodities that are interrelated somehow, have differing locations, or representing different months of the same commodity.
  • They are traded together for hedge purposes (reduce price risk) or outright trading (speculate on price spread movement).

The following mini-lecture summarizes the points presented above (6:10 minutes).

EBF 301 Lesson 10 Spreads

Moving on to the next part of our discussion of advanced financial derivatives, we're talking about spreads. Again, I've got some extensive notes and some examples in the lesson content, but we'll review these concepts here in these slides.

OK, Spread trading itself-- here we're talking about trading-- it's a technique that takes advantage of the relative price movement between futures contracts. Arbitrage, that's a simultaneous purchase and sale of similar or identical commodities in two different markets in hopes of gaining a profit from the price differential. Now again, with spread, we're not dealing so much with price as we are dealing with the price differences. Margin requirements are considerably lower than the requirements on single futures contracts, because again, the exposure is the spread difference-- the difference between the price is not one singular price. So that also makes them less risky than outright futures positions. You're exposed to this movement in the spread, either the spread widens or the spread gets tighter, as opposed to the price of the futures contracts themselves.

Here are some simple rules. This is for trading spreads for speculative purposes. Rule 1 is, if you think spreads are going to narrow, you buy low, and you sell high currently. So, you buy the lower price, and you sell the higher price to set a spread. And then, when the prices do, in fact, narrow based on your expectations, you'll be able to go ahead and liquidate that spread at some profit. Otherwise, if the spreads are expected to widen, you expect the price difference to get greater, you will buy the high contract now and sell the lower of the two.

Different types of spreads-- one is the Inter-market. Now, this is the simultaneous purchase and sale of different, but related, commodities that have a reasonably stable relationship to each other. So, inter-market, keep in mind, inter-market means different commodities, not the same commodity. So, we have some different types of spreads and these are the commonly used terms for these spreads.

We have what's known as a Crack Spread. OK, this would be crude oil versus unleaded or heating oil. Now, if you think back to the lesson on crude refining, you have a process by which you are actually cracking the hydrocarbon molecules and then reforming them into these other products, so that's why you get this name here. Crude being the feedstock, and the refined products being unleaded and heating oil. And all three of these trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Therefore, these can be used to hedge the spread that refiners are exposed to.

A Spark Spread, it's natural gas versus electricity. Again, this would pertain strictly to natural gas fired power plants. Heating oil versus gas oil-- again, this one can be broken down into another, so we can use this spread. NYMEX versus ICE. Now, this is on crude oil spreads. Here, we have a situation where we're actually using inter-markets. The markets are the different trading platforms. So, savvy traders can sit there and look at NYMEX prices and Intercontinental Exchange Prices for crude oil, and they can take advantage by buying one and selling another, or selling one and buying another electronically.

And then we have a Frac Spread, and this is not to be confused with fracking, which is a completion method for oil and gas wells. What we're talking about here is, again, if you think back to the lecture on processing, the processing plants take natural gas and convert it to natural gas liquids or the so-called fractions using a fractionation tower. And so, that's where we break down and get the ethane, propane, butane, isobutane, natural gasoline, and condensate. So, since natural gas is the feedstock for a processing plant, and the natural gas liquids are the output from that plant, we can put on a frac spread to hedge those differences.

The other type of spread is Intra-market, and this is also known as an intra-commodity spread. The idea here is we are using the same commodity, but we are trading things like time or location. So, a time spread is the simultaneous purchase and sale of futures contracts on the same commodity for different delivery months. So, for example, we could buy August 2015 natural gas contracts and sell the January 2016 natural gas contracts. This would be a storage spread, because the idea would be we would buy the August contracts, put that gas in the ground in August, and then turn around and sell the January contracts, and take the gas out then. So, that difference in price between August and January represents our storage spread.

Then we also have Locational Spreads. This would be the simultaneous purchase and sale of futures contracts for different locations. So, for instance, in terms of crude, we could use the WTI versus the Brent crude pricing. And for natural gas, we could use Henry Hub versus, say for instance, New York City. And here's an example of an intra-market spread for natural gas. Again, as I've mentioned right here, in this example, we're going to talk about August 2015 versus January 2016 at these respective prices.

So, if you think spread's are going to narrow, in other words, we start up $2.90 versus $3.25, so we have a $0.35 spread, if you think that that spread is going to become less, you're going to buy the low, which is the $2.90 and sell the $3.25, which is the high. And then, if you think spread's is going to widen, that is that the price difference between these two months is going to end up being greater than for $0.35, you're going to sell the lower priced, $2.90, and you'll buy back the $3.25. Now, again, keep in mind this is for speculative trading, trading for pure profit. This is not a hedging type of plan or scenario.

Credit: The Dutton Institute @ Penn State is licensed by CC-BY-NC-4.0

If one wishes to enter into a contract for underground storage capacity, this transaction can be hedged as well using the time spread.

Example of Time Spread:

Let’s look at an example. The April 2020 NYMEX natural gas contract is trading $2.65 at the time of this writing. We can buy these contracts and that will represent the supply that we would inject into storage in April 2020. Now, we need a market for when we wish to withdraw these same volumes. January 2021 is trading at $3.98, so we would sell the January 2019 futures contracts in the same amount as we bought in April 2020. This creates a “spread” of $0.33. After the respective monthly storage fees are taken-out, we are left with the “net” spread on our storage transaction. This is also known as a “time spread” since it involves a purchase and sale of the same commodity in differing months.

These simple, “fixed-price” hedges are the basic building blocks for more complex financial derivative hedges.

Options Contracts

Options Contracts Anonymous

Car insurance is a good example of an option, specifically, a "call" option. A premium is paid and the insured has the right to “call” their insurance agent in the event of an accident. The “price” they will have to pay for the damages is limited to the amount of the deductible (“strike price”). The term is usually one year, and if no claim is made, the “option” expires worthless (i.e. – no payout is made by the insurance company since no claim was made). The insured’s maximum exposure is the deductible, thereby establishing a “ceiling price.” And, the premium is calculated using complicated mathematical models (actuarial tables, statistics & probabilities).

Energy options are very similar in nature. As with most financial derivatives, they can be used for hedging price risk or for outright trading. One key difference is that options represent the buyer’s right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell futures/forwards contracts. The options contracts themselves are not futures or forwards contracts but rather a right to buy or sell those contracts. They are traded on the exchange as well as over the counter. And, the buyer is under no obligation to purchase or sell the underlying commodity contracts if the pricing makes no sense.

Here are some common terms in option contracts:

Call:

An option contract that gives the holder the right to buy the underlying security (futures) at a specified price for a certain fixed period of time.

Put:

An option contract that gives the holder the right to sell the underlying security (futures) at a specified price for a certain fixed period of time.

Holder:

The purchaser of an option.

Premium:

The price of an option contract, determined in the competitive marketplace, which the buyer of the option pays to the option writer for the rights conveyed by the option contract.

Strike Price:

The stated price which the underlying security (futures) may be purchased (in the case of a call) or sold (in the case of a put) by the option holder upon exercise of the option contract.

Expiration date:

The day on which an option contract becomes void.

Intrinsic value:

The value of an option if it were to expire immediately with the underlying commodity at its current price; the amount by which an option is in-the-money. For call options, this is the difference between the underlying commodity price and the striking price, if that difference is a positive number, or zero otherwise. For put options, it is the difference between the striking price and the underlying commodity price, if that difference is positive, and zero otherwise.

In-the-money:

A term describing any option that has intrinsic value. A call option is in-the-money if the underlying security (commodity) is higher than the striking price of the call. A put option is in-the-money if the security (commodity) is below the striking price.

Out-of-the-money:

A call option is out-of-the-money if the strike price is greater than the market price of the underlying security (commodity). A put option is out-of-the-money if the strike price is less than the market price of the underlying security (commodity).

Time Value:

The portion of the option premium that is attributable to the amount of time remaining until the expiration of the option contract. Time value is whatever value the option has in addition to its intrinsic value.

Key Learning Points for the Mini-Lecture: Options Contracts

While watching the following mini-lecture (16:13 minutes), keep in mind the following key points regarding energy risk hedging using options contracts:

  • Options give the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell financial energy contracts at some point in time in the future at a set volume and price. They are traded on both the exchange and over the counter markets.
  • They are much cheaper than outright contracts or swaps in that premiums usually represent only a fraction of the face value of the underlying contracts.
  • As a result, a substantial amount of contracts can be “controlled” relatively cheaply.
  • Options contract components list the commodity, volume, date, price ("strike"), and premium to be paid.
  • A “call” option gives the buyer the right to buy contracts at a fixed price, which creates a maximum, or “ceiling price.” These are mostly used by consumers of the energy commodity wishing to cap their price risk exposure.
  • A “put” option gives the buyer the right to sell contracts at a fixed price, which creates a minimum or “floor price.” These are mostly used by producers of the energy commodity wishing to limit their downside price risk.
  • Options values are calculated using algorithmic models.
  • The most popular model is the Black-Scholes model.

Now watch the following two videos for more details. (9:20 and 6:50 minutes)

Options Part 1

The last advanced financial derivative we're going to talk about are options. And again, I've given you pretty extensive notes and some good examples of what options are and how they're utilized and how they're valued. So, these slides just represent pretty much an overview of the notes from the lesson content. Well actually, we'll talk about the definition, the types of options, some of the terminology, the benefits and risks of using options, what happens when options expire, how options are valued, and then we'll just have a summary of the key learning points.

Options are another type of financial instrument used to manage risk and/or to speculate. An option contract gives the holder the right but not the obligation to buy or sell futures contracts at a specified price at any time in the future prior to the expiration of the option contract. Now keep this in mind, this is an important point. If you're buying an option-- in other words, you're the holder of the option-- you have the right but not the obligation to either buy the underlying contracts or sell them. You do not have to.

Types of options contracts-- there are two types, the Call, and the Put. A Call is an option to buy. In other words within the option, you have a designated commodity and the number of contracts and a specified price. Your option position is long. So, once you buy a call option, since you have the right to buy the contracts, your option position is considered long.

So, many times the holder is short the underlying commodity. In other words, let's say a crude-oil refiner would want to buy a call option for crude-oil contracts, thus having the right to buy the crude-oil contracts at a certain price-- again, not the obligation. So. while their physical position is short, their options position is long.

On the flip side, we have the Put option. This is an option to sell the underlying contracts. Again, the option position here is short. Why? Because they have the right to sell. Many times the holder is long the underlying commodity.

So, for example, a crude-oil producer may want the right to sell their crude or to sell contracts in the financial marketplace at a predetermined price which is stated in their option. So, again, to the extent that they exercise, they have the right to sell. We consider their option position to be short because their physical commodity position is, in fact, long.

The most popular type of option is the Futures option or the Commodity option. It is an exchange-traded option calling for the delivery of futures contracts. However, options can be traded in the over-the-counter market and, at times, can call for physical delivery.

And then note my footnote. Having the options contract means you have the right-- you have contracts or can sell contracts. The Premium, this is the price of the option. The premium value reflects the risk of the underlying commodity, and its value is made up of two components. In other words, this is the price you'll have to pay. Just as in the lesson notes, I talked about car insurance and you have a premium. The premium is what it will cost you to have this type of risk insurance.

And there are two pieces, the Intrinsic and the Extrinsic. When you think of the intrinsic, think of the embedded value. As soon as you execute the option, you're going to have a strike price, and there's going to be a market price or what we call the asset price. So, it's the positive difference between the strike price and the price of the underlying commodity.

So, for example, if you, in your contract, you set a strike price of $52 and the current market is $50, the intrinsic value of that is $2.00. So, we know that the premium would be at least $2.00. At $2.00, the writer or seller of the option you're dealing with isn't going to make any money.

Part two of the premium then is what we call extrinsic, which is the time value of money. So, think about it this way. You enter into an options contract on a particular day, but that particular underlying contract won't expire until some point in time in the future. Well, every single day with market changes in price, volatility, and those types of things as well as the time that gets closer and closer to expiration, the value of that option changes. So, in other words, the premium that the writer of that option would then charge you is going to change every day, and this is reflected in what we know as the Greeks, the theoretical models that calculate the various differences in the extrinsic value.

So, when you have the premium and you know what the intrinsic is, all remaining value other than the intrinsic is the extrinsic, and it consists of the components that we talk about as the Greek values. So, for the example above, if the premium for this particular option of $52 was $2.50, we know, based on the fact that the intrinsic is $2.00, that the extrinsic part of the premium or the time value of that premium is $0.50.

The Strike Price, that's the buy or sell price as detailed in the options contract, also known as the exercise price. Expiration, which again, it's the date by which the outcome of the options contract, whether it's sold, exercised, or just abandoned, has to be determined. Now, the options expire typically one to three days prior to the expiration of the underlying futures contract. So, for natural-gas options, as an example, it's one day prior to the expiration of the underlying contract. And we know that the underlying contract for natural gas on NYMEX expires three working days prior to the first of the month. Therefore natural-gas options expire four working days prior. So, they have to be executed or they just go ahead and settle.

And the Greeks, these are the theoretical values projected from mathematical models that are used to measure the sensitivity of an options price to quantifiable factors. When we refer to the Greeks, we're talking about delta, gamma, theta, vega, and rho. And again, I'm not going to hold you responsible for these, but these are the definitions of the Greeks themselves.

Benefits of an option-- the option premium is a fraction of the cost of the underlying commodity. So, think about the fact that, say again, you're a crude refiner and you want to go out and you need to secure some crude supplies in the future. You could buy the contracts outright or you could buy a call option where you have the right to purchase those at a certain price level if, in fact, you need to exercise it, but it's only costing you the premium upfront. You're not buying the contracts unless the price exceeds your option price and then you want to enter into those contracts.

And because of that, you can potentially control a large number of futures contracts for a relatively small cost. So, you could hold several contracts of crude oil, and rather than buy them outright, you're paying the premium on a call option. This gives you a considerable amount of leverage in the marketplace. Now the option buyer's risk is known and limited to the amount paid for the option premium. So, again, your exposure as someone who buys the option is strictly what you paid. You can't lose any more than the premium.

Now the Risk-- the risk is that these are time-sensitive investments. Basically, the value of the options can tend to deteriorate from the time at which they're exercised until the actual expiration date. Now the Option Seller is the writer of the option. That's the other term we use for them, and they are at risk to unlimited potential losses. If you're buying a call option, you're buying a ceiling price. You will never pay more than the strike price in your agreement. Well, the seller of that option or the writer of that option has that exposure if the price runs right through that.

When options expire, they can expire worthless. In other words, you never executed the option. They can be sold for the intrinsic value if one is in an option-buyer position where the option is purchased for its intrinsic value if one is in an option-seller position. So, in other words, as we talked about the intrinsic value, as the options come up anytime between the time they're executed and the time that it expires, if there's value in that, someone trading options could, in fact, cash that in or settle it and make some money on it, or the option gets exercised sometime before expiration, or it automatically is exercised on expiration.

Credit: The Dutton Institute @ Penn State is licensed by CC-BY-NC-4.0

Options Part 2

How do they come up with premiums? Well, options are generally valued using pricing theory and/or pricing models.

One of the more popular models used for option evaluation is the Black Scholes model. Now, some of the large firms that actually buy and sell options or they'll write options, they may have some proprietary models that were developed by some quantitative analysts.

Here is what the inputs look like on a Black Scholes model. 

  
S (Asset $)50.00
X (Strike)55.00
T (Time to expiry)0.055
r (risk free rate)0.083%
v (Volatility)50.0 %
d1-0.7554
d2-0.8725
call value0.7191
put value5.7166

As an example, one can evaluate an option's value at contract expiration. As previously stated, at expiration, the contract has no time value and one would expect the options value to be solely intrinsic.

So, if you have a model-- and I've put a spreadsheet, Excel spreadsheet, out in Canvas under the lesson resources. It's an example of the Black Scholes model. And these will be the inputs.

The asset price-- that's the current market price. In this scenario, the current market price for crude oil was $50, the desired strike price for the option was $55. So, in this particular case, this would be a call option. The time to expiration-- in the spreadsheet, you enter in the number of days to expiration in the one cell, and it automatically calculates this fraction.

The risk-free rate-- you have to put in an interest rate because the idea is, you are paying the premium at the time that you execute the options contract. So, there's cash sitting out there, which could be drawing interest as an alternative. So, this is your so-called opportunity cost. And then, the volatility-- you're going to get that from the marketplace-- the daily implied volatility.

D1 and D2-- those are deltas. Do not worry about those.

But you can see what it spits out are call values and put values. So, a call value-- it's going to cost you $0.72 to get a $55 call in a $50 market with those other parameters that you've entered into it.

From the put side-- and again, remember, the put allows you to sell at a certain price level. Well, if we look at this, if you want to sell at $55 and the market is $50, well, obviously the intrinsic value is $5. So, at a minimum, it's going to cost you $5. And in this scenario, though, the extrinsic value of it is $0.72 as well.

One could also anticipate the value utilizing basic understandings. The purchaser of a call option is anticipating the price of the underlying security to increase. So, one would expect the call option's value to increase with an increase in commodity prices. If the strike price were higher than the actual commodity price, the option should have little to no value.

So, some of the learning points of these things-- the purchaser of a call option expects the price of the future contract to increase. OK. So, their sentiment or their outlook is that they're bullish on the underlying commodity. If they think prices are going to go up, they would enter into a call option.

The purchaser of a put option expects the price of the future contract to decrease. So, their sentiment is bearish on the underlying commodity. They expect prices to fall. And as a result, they want to establish a floor price. OK.

Options are referred to as being asymmetrical. It's a right, but not an obligation for the buyer of the option.

Options are financial in nature. Delivery of the physicals is relatively rare. And options premium typically moves in concert with an option's valuation. That only makes sense because you're going to put a value on the option and the premium should be the result of those calculations.

At expiration, the time value portion of the premium is equal to zero. So, in other words, on the day of expiration, all you've got left is intrinsic value. What's the strike price in the options contract versus the asset or market value at that time?

And then, options trading is a zero-sum game. We talked about this with the underlying futures and forwards contracts. For every buyer, there's a seller and vise versa. Same thing here-- if you want to buy an option, there has to be a seller in the marketplace.

Options rights and obligations-- so, let's break this down a little bit. In terms of call options, the actual buyer has the right to buy a futures contract at a predetermined price on or before a defined date. They expect prices to rise. They want to establish a ceiling price, a price at which they're guaranteed to purchase the underlying contracts.

The seller, on the other side, they're granting that right to the buyer. So, they have the obligation to sell futures at the predetermined price at the buyer's sole option. In other words, the seller of the option can't call up the buyer and say, hey, I would really like you to go ahead and exercise these. It is up to the buyer.

In terms of a put option, this gives the buyer the right to sell futures contracts at a predetermined price on or before a defined date. Why? Because their expectation is that prices will fall and they want to establish a floor price, a guaranteed minimum price.

The seller then grants the right to the buyer. So, they've got the obligation to potentially have to buy futures at a predetermined price, which is the price stated in the contract, the strike price, at the buyer's sole expectation.

The seller, in this case, they're expecting neutral or rising prices. So, in other words, if they sell a put option, their hope is that the prices don't ever fall. If they stay the same, they're going to collect the premium and they won't have to pay anything out. But if prices rise, the same thing happens as well. They're not going to have to purchase contracts in a falling marketplace.

OK. Again, here is just the determinant of options prices themselves.

Summary of the Determinates of Option Prices
Increase inCall ValuePut Value
Underlying Priceincreasingdecreasing
Strike Pricedecreasingincreasing
Volatilityincreasingincreasing
Expiration Timeincreasingincreasing
Interest Ratedecreasingdecreasing

If there's an increase in the underlying price, that's going to increase the value of the call and it'll decrease the value of the put. OK. If there's an increase in the strike price, that's going to lower the call value and increase the put value.

If volatility increases, both the value of the call and the put are going to increase. I mean, as you can imagine, if there's volatility in the marketplace, then those models, like the Black Scholes and others, are going to reflect that added volatility. So, the risk or the exposure by the writers of the options is going to increase.

Time to expiration-- the further the time out from the time you enter into the options contract until expiration, both the put value and the call value could also increase. And then, interest rates-- if there's an increase in the interest rate, both the call value and the put value are going to decline.

Credit: The Dutton Institute @ Penn State is licensed by CC-BY-NC-4.0

Components and Types of Options Contracts

Components and Types of Options Contracts Anonymous

The components of an options contract are:

  • option type (call/put)
  • commodity
  • date
  • strike price (price at which the contracts can be bought or sold by buyer)
  • premium

Option types are:

  • “Calls” – these give the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying financial energy contracts should the market price exceed the “strike price” of the option contract. In that case, the buyer would “call” the seller of the option and request the contracts.
  • “Puts” – these give the buyer the right but not the obligation to sell the underlying financial energy contracts should the market price fall below the “strike price” of the option contract. In that case, the buyer would “put” the contracts to the seller of the option, who must purchase them.

The buyer of an option’s exposure is merely the cost of the option, i.e., the premium. They will never pay more than that. On the other hand, the seller, or “writer,” of an option bears all the risk and is exposed to any price movement above the strike price of the call option, and below the price of the put option.

One of the main advantages is that, since only a premium is paid up front, the buyer of the options can control a large amount of contracts for a small price. For example, with a call option, they are not buying the underlying contracts outright, but are buying the right to purchase them at a set price (“strike price”) if necessary. The buyer could have the right to buy 100 contracts and only have to pay the premium for the option and not pay the total cost of 100 contracts.

So, who would use options contracts for hedging? Let’s take a crude oil refiner as an example. The company is concerned about rising crude oil prices. But rather than go out and buy hundreds of futures contracts and lock-in the price now, they decide to purchase a call option at a strike price that limits their exposure to rising prices. In doing so, they establish a maximum, or “ceiling,” price. So, for December 2018, they buy a crude oil call option at a strike price of $70.00 since the current price is $65.00. If December prices remain below $65.00, the refiner does nothing and is out only the premium. However, should December prices exceed $70.00, the refiner calls the option seller and requests the number of crude oil contracts agreed upon at the $70.00 strike price (or, they could ask for payment of the price difference in the market). In this scenario, the refiner will never pay more than $70.00 for their crude supply. And, they capture all the downside of prices should the market fall.

On the flip side, let’s consider the crude oil producer who is worried about falling prices, so they enter into a put option to establish a “floor” price. For December, they choose a $60.00 strike price, thus establishing the lowest price at which they will have to sell their crude oil. Should prices fall below that level, they will contact the options seller and request their right to sell the underlying financial contracts at $60.00. Should prices remain above $60.00, the producer would do nothing and be out only the price of the option (premium). In this way, the producer can reap all the benefits of higher prices, regardless of how high they go.

If not exercised, options expire worthless, and, options are time-sensitive. The closer to the expiration date, the less value the option has (less risk exposure with less time remaining).

There are numerous mathematical models that are used to determine options premium values. The most well-known is the Black-Sholes model. It is an extensive algorithm that only needs a few inputs to calculate an option’s value.

  • asset price (current market price)
  • strike price (buyer’s desired price)
  • days to expiration (of the underlying commodity contract)
  • volatility of the underlying contract (available market data)
  • interest rate (This is the opportunity cost of paying the premiums upfront vs. investing the cash in something else. The Federal Reserve’s Prime Rate is normally used.)

A spreadsheet with the Black-Sholes model and sample inputs can be found in the Canvas Modules under Lesson 10: Advanced Financial Derivatives - Swaps, Spreads, and Options.

Summary and Final Tasks

Summary and Final Tasks Anonymous

Key Learning Points: Lesson 10

  1. Swaps are exchanges of payments between two parties and are strictly financial in nature.
  2. They can be used in lieu of futures contracts and are, in fact, “forward” contracts.
  3. They are non-exchange traded instruments.
  4. They can be used for hedging or outright trading.
  5. “Fixed-for-floating” swaps use current NYMEX market prices and final settlement prices to determine the balance of payments under the agreements.
  6. Spreads represent the price difference between commodity locations, relationships, and timeframes.
  7. They can also be used for hedging or outright trading (arbitrage).
  8. The most common types of spreads are location, time (storage), and inter-commodity.
  9. Inter-commodity spreads can be by oil refiners, midstream natural gas companies, and electricity generators to lock-in margin.
  10. Options are a simple and less costly way to hedge price risk than the outright purchase or sale of energy financial contracts.
  11. They give the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell the underlying energy commodity contracts at the “strike price.”
  12. The seller, or “writer,” of the option assumes all risk.
  13. Options can be used for hedging or outright trading.
  14. Commercial entities concerned about rising energy prices, i.e., refiners, would enter into a “call” option, thereby establishing a maximum, or “ceiling,” price for their commodity needs.
  15. Commercial entities concerned about falling energy prices, i.e., producers, would enter into a “put” option, thereby establishing a minimum or “floor” price for their commodity.
  16. The Black-Sholes model is the most popular options valuation model.

In the next section, we will discuss the need for risk controls in energy commodity trading. Given your understanding of the complexities of financial derivatives, you should now realize how important a system of "checks-and-balances" is for any energy trading company. However, if the controls put in place are not followed, catastrophic losses can occur......Enron.

Reminder - Complete all of the lesson tasks!

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